At a Glance
A transformation baseline establishes current-state performance, capabilities, costs, risks, and dependencies, creating a fact-based starting point to set realistic targets, prioritize initiatives, track progress, and manage trade-offs across complex banking change portfolios.
What “transformation baseline” means in a bank
In banking, a transformation baseline is the documented, decision-grade description of the institution’s current state—technology, processes, operating costs, control environment, and delivery capacity—captured at a defined point in time. The baseline is not a narrative report. It is the reference against which executives govern change: what was true when decisions were made, what commitments were approved, what constraints were acknowledged, and what evidence will be used to measure progress.
By 2026, the baseline is increasingly treated as a continuous governance capability rather than a one-off diagnostic. This shift reflects the operational reality of modern banking: AI-enabled features evolve quickly, dependencies on third parties expand, and regulatory expectations require traceable evidence of how risks are identified, controlled, and monitored as the organization changes.
How baseline expectations have evolved for 2026
Three forces are reshaping the language executives need when establishing a transformation baseline: the move toward autonomous and AI-enabled operating models, sustained cost-to-income pressure, and the requirement to demonstrate resilience and control effectiveness through continuous evidence rather than periodic attestations.
Autonomous banking as a baseline expectation
Autonomous and agent-driven capabilities change the meaning of “current state.” The baseline must capture not only systems and processes, but also where decision-making is automated, how exceptions are handled, and what governance exists for model or rules-based outcomes. When autonomy expands, supervisors and internal stakeholders will ask how the bank ensures accountability, explainability, and safe change control for customer-impacting decisions.
Cost-to-income pressure and the run-cost reality
Transformation baselines increasingly need to be cost-aware. A bank can have a strong strategy and still fail if the baseline does not reflect the true “run-cost” burden of legacy estates—manual operations, rework, duplicated platforms, and fragmented data. Cost baselining should therefore capture the structural drivers of cost-to-serve, not only budget totals, so executives can attribute cost movement to specific modernization actions.
AI integration as an operating constraint
AI integration is rarely constrained by model availability. It is constrained by data quality, identity and access foundations, control design, and the ability to monitor and respond when behavior drifts. A 2026 baseline should explicitly capture AI-relevant dependencies—data provenance, monitoring coverage, incident playbooks, and change approval pathways—so that innovation does not outpace governance.
Key components of a transformation baseline
A usable baseline is comprehensive but not encyclopedic. It focuses on the domains that determine delivery feasibility, operational risk, and supervisory defensibility. The components below provide a common structure that executives can use to establish an objective starting point and track progress over time.
Technology and core systems
This component describes the technology estate in terms that support governance decisions: core platforms, integration patterns, resilience design, technical debt hotspots, and dependency concentration (including third parties). The baseline should identify which services are critical, which platforms are end-of-life, and where modernization creates transitional risk because multiple architectures must operate in parallel.
Data capability and reporting foundations
Baseline language for data should emphasize semantic consistency, lineage, and operational reproducibility. Executives should be able to point to authoritative sources for material data domains, define how critical measures are produced, and show where reconciliation or manual adjustment remains a control risk. This is also where ISO-aligned standards and modern message formats become relevant—when they reduce friction between systems and strengthen traceability.
Operational efficiency and service management
Operational efficiency in the baseline should be expressed in measurable drivers: incident volume and severity, change failure rates, manual processing hotspots, cycle times for onboarding and servicing, and the effort required to produce regulatory and management information. The aim is to quantify where the bank spends time and cost to sustain stability, and to clarify which transformation actions will reduce that burden.
Skills, culture, and delivery model
Transformation success depends on capacity and capability: engineering throughput, product management strength, risk and compliance integration into delivery, and leadership accountability for outcomes. The baseline should capture where skills are scarce, where operating model constraints slow delivery, and whether the organization can absorb change without degrading resilience.
From baseline to target state using a structured delivery path
Many institutions adopt a phased approach that converts baseline evidence into a governed roadmap. The value of a phased approach is that it forces explicit choices on sequencing, dependency management, and risk acceptance—rather than allowing the roadmap to remain aspirational.
Phase 1: Current core analysis
Establish the baseline scope, identify critical services, map the technology and data estate at decision-grade granularity, and define the control evidence that will be used to measure change. This phase is complete only when executives can explain key constraints and trade-offs in plain language.
Phase 2: Strategy and roadmap
Translate baseline constraints into a target-state strategy and a sequenced roadmap. A defensible roadmap states what will be decommissioned, what will be modernized, what will be standardized, and what governance guardrails will apply—especially for AI-enabled capabilities and third-party dependencies.
Phase 3: Implementation and integration
Execute incrementally with strong change control and evidence discipline. The baseline is updated through approved changes so that progress can be measured without rewriting the “starting point.” This phase must make transitional risks explicit (parallel run, data migration, control redesign) and manage them as first-class portfolio concerns.
Phase 4: Rollout and scaling
Scale only when operational readiness and control effectiveness are demonstrated, not assumed. Scaling decisions should be tied to measurable improvements versus the baseline, such as reduced onboarding time, improved cost-to-serve drivers, stronger resilience indicators, and more reliable reporting reproducibility.
How transformation should move core metrics in 2026
Baseline language becomes meaningful when it is linked to measurable outcomes. Executives typically track a small set of metrics that reflect customer experience, unit economics, and delivery performance, while maintaining a parallel set of resilience and control indicators to ensure that speed does not degrade safety.
- Onboarding speed: cycle time from application to fully functional account, including identity and risk checks
- Cost to serve: operational effort per customer or product unit, including manual processing and exception handling
- Revenue per account: product penetration and lifecycle value drivers, supported by personalization that remains explainable and controlled
- Developer productivity: throughput and quality (lead time, deployment frequency, change failure rate), aligned to resilience guardrails
Strategic insights shaping baseline language for 2026
At the same time, the “human premium” remains a practical design constraint: even as automation expands, complex conversations and exceptional circumstances often require human judgement. Baseline language should therefore acknowledge how the operating model will handle exceptions, escalations, and customer outcomes—especially where AI is involved.
Risk and compliance expectations also continue to evolve toward more predictive, continuous, and data-driven approaches. The baseline should define how control evidence is produced, how issues are managed to closure, and how compliance is embedded into delivery so that modernization reduces—rather than amplifies—regulatory and operational risk.
Establishing an objective baseline to track progress over time
A baseline is only useful if it remains stable enough to measure progress and flexible enough to incorporate approved change. That requires disciplined versioning, consistent definitions, and clear ownership. In practical terms, executives should ensure that baseline artifacts (service maps, data definitions, control evidence standards, cost drivers) are governed as living assets, updated through decision forums, and used consistently across portfolio reporting.
When baseline language is clear and repeatable, it reduces friction across stakeholders: technology, risk, finance, compliance, and the business can align on what “current state” means, what success will look like, and what evidence will demonstrate progress.
Using an assessment lens to improve baseline confidence in transformation governance
Baseline language becomes more actionable when it is stress-tested against the institution’s real constraints: governance effectiveness, delivery capacity, architecture and data foundations, risk and control integration, and operational resilience. An assessment lens helps executives determine whether the baseline reflects operational reality or optimistic assumptions, and it supports sequencing decisions where dependencies and control obligations can otherwise be underestimated.
Approached as an input to governance rather than as a separate workstream, the DUNNIXER Digital Maturity Assessment can be used to validate baseline evidence, identify where definitions and controls are not consistently operationalized, and increase decision confidence as the bank moves from documentation to delivery and scaling.
Reviewed by

The Founder & CEO of DUNNIXER and a former IBM Executive Architect with 26+ years in IT strategy and solution architecture. He has led architecture teams across the Middle East & Africa and globally, and also served as a Strategy Director (contract) at EY-Parthenon. Ahmed is an inventor with multiple US patents and an IBM-published author, and he works with CIOs, CDOs, CTOs, and Heads of Digital to replace conflicting transformation narratives with an evidence-based digital maturity baseline, peer benchmark, and prioritized 12–18 month roadmap—delivered consulting-led and platform-powered for repeatability and speed to decision, including an executive/board-ready readout. He writes about digital maturity, benchmarking, application portfolio rationalization, and how leaders prioritize digital and AI investments.
References
- https://sdk.finance/blog/core-banking-transformation-lead-with-strategy-execute-with-confidence/#:~:text=Global%20banks%20are%20projected%20to,and%20Regulatory%20Technology%20(RegTech).
- https://www.backbase.com/blog/ai-transformation-is-the-new-digital-transformation#:~:text=These%20systems%20don't%20wait,bank%20from%20reactive%20to%20proactive.
- https://www.pwc.com/m1/en/publications/documents/core-banking-transformation-seizing-the-digital-opportunity.pdf
- https://www.backbase.com/blog/ai-transformation-is-the-new-digital-transformation#:~:text=Digital%20transformation:%20You%20build%20a,product%20the%20customer%20needs%20next.
- https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2025/may/next-gen-core-banking-modernization.html#:~:text=To%20sustain%20the%20technological%20leap,time%20for%20skills%20ramp%2Dup.
- https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2025/may/next-gen-core-banking-modernization.html#:~:text=Banks%20should%20use%20this%20time,operations%20during%20the%20transition%20period.
- https://www.hcltech.com/trends-and-insights/autonomous-intelligent-and-hyper-personalized-banking-in-2026#:~:text=Her%20message%20for%20institutions%20approaching,Customer%20service
- https://eleks.com/blog/digital-transformation-in-banking/#:~:text=What%20is%20digital%20transformation%20in,essential%20purposes%20of%20digital%20transformation.
- https://www.deloitte.com/lu/en/our-thinking/future-of-advice/bankview-transforming-banking-insights-into-actions.html#:~:text=In%20the%20baseline%20projection%2C%20banks,service%20offerings%20and%20customer%20experience.
- https://crassula.io/blog/core-banking-system-architecture/#:~:text=Key%20Components%20of%20a%20Core%20Banking%20System&text=Integration%20with%20CRM%20systems;%20workflow,volume;%20robust%20security%20for%20PII.&text=Managing%20deposit%20accounts%20(current%2C%20savings,%2C%20interest%20calculation%2C%20fee%20processing.
- https://www.crowe.com/insights/technology-modernization-in-banking-strategy-to-delivery#:~:text=Define%20a%20hybrid%20or%20multicloud,enforce%20security%20policies%20at%20scale
- https://www.backbase.com/banking-predictions-report-2026/ai-and-the-future-of-banking#:~:text=As%20deepfakes%20and%20AI%2Dgenerated,accountability%20will%20earn%20lasting%20loyalty.
- https://www.linkedin.com/posts/pulak-jain-127776193_rbi-issues-new-digital-banking-authorisation-activity-7402598476301406208-qaBy#:~:text=Banking%20for%20Founders%20in%20Dubai,with%20accounting%20and%20ERP%20systems.
- https://www.cognizant.com/en_us/general/documents/cognizant-avasant-banking-process-transformation-2023-radarview-report.pdf
- https://www.adrenalinex.com/blog/whats-ahead-banking-experience-trends-2026/#:~:text=The%20branch%20continues%20to%20trend,meaningfully%20for%20customers%20and%20communities.
- https://www.webpronews.com/bankings-transformation-accelerates-how-dealmaking-deregulation-and-digital-upstarts-will-reshape-finance-in-2026/#:~:text=The%20regulatory%20framework%20governing%20banks%20is%20undergoing,in%20the%20direction%20many%20industry%20observers%20anticipated.
- https://www.sas.com/en_th/insights/articles/analytics/banco-galicia-launches-an-analytical-journey.html#:~:text=Everyone%20understood%20that%20the%20key%20to%20success,initial%20step%20to%20achieve%20the%20board's%20objectives.
- https://www.just-style.com/news/how-the-indo-pacific-economic-framework-impacts-apparel/#:~:text=Specifically%2C%20the%20framework%20will%20focus%20on%20four%20key%20pillars:
- https://togaf.visual-paradigm.com/2025/02/18/comprehensive-guide-to-togaf-transition-architectures/#:~:text=Overall%2C%20the%20diagram%20emphasizes%20the%20incremental%20and,Architecture)%20through%20well%2Ddefined%20intermediate%20states%20(Transition%20Architectures).